Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001300 0.001367 0.001436 0.001512 0.001594 0.001679 0.001774
2025-06-22 0.001186 0.001283 0.001385 0.001502 0.001632 0.001774 0.001940
2025-06-29 0.001101 0.001215 0.001340 0.001487 0.001657 0.001847 0.002078
2025-07-06 0.001032 0.001158 0.001299 0.001470 0.001671 0.001904 0.002195
2025-07-13 0.000964 0.001097 0.001248 0.001434 0.001659 0.001925 0.002266
2025-07-20 0.000929 0.001070 0.001233 0.001439 0.001692 0.001998 0.002402
2025-07-27 0.000900 0.001049 0.001224 0.001447 0.001729 0.002076 0.002546
2025-08-03 0.000879 0.001036 0.001222 0.001464 0.001775 0.002166 0.002708
2025-08-10 0.000851 0.001012 0.001206 0.001462 0.001795 0.002223 0.002828
2025-08-17 0.000812 0.000973 0.001169 0.001430 0.001775 0.002225 0.002872
2025-08-24 0.000782 0.000944 0.001143 0.001411 0.001770 0.002245 0.002942
2025-08-31 0.000764 0.000928 0.001133 0.001413 0.001792 0.002303 0.003067
2025-09-07 0.000737 0.000903 0.001112 0.001401 0.001798 0.002342 0.003172
2025-09-14 0.000715 0.000883 0.001096 0.001395 0.001812 0.002393 0.003299
2025-09-21 0.000692 0.000860 0.001076 0.001382 0.001816 0.002430 0.003405
2025-09-28 0.000669 0.000837 0.001055 0.001367 0.001815 0.002458 0.003500
2025-10-05 0.000641 0.000807 0.001023 0.001335 0.001788 0.002446 0.003531
2025-10-12 0.000629 0.000796 0.001017 0.001339 0.001813 0.002514 0.003691
2025-10-19 0.000618 0.000788 0.001014 0.001347 0.001844 0.002591 0.003873
2025-10-26 0.000610 0.000783 0.001016 0.001362 0.001886 0.002688 0.004093
2025-11-02 0.000597 0.000771 0.001006 0.001360 0.001901 0.002742 0.004243
2025-11-09 0.000576 0.000747 0.000979 0.001331 0.001874 0.002726 0.004269
2025-11-16 0.000560 0.000729 0.000960 0.001313 0.001864 0.002737 0.004343